Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 10.858749 12.165768 13.605298 15.314912 17.298278 19.536767 22.268435
2025-10-26 9.275749 11.030457 13.112853 15.790923 19.179283 23.371817 29.027853
2025-11-02 8.088341 9.997037 12.375848 15.603522 19.939473 25.667100 33.985458
2025-11-09 7.205277 9.177808 11.732755 15.351566 20.457045 27.579929 38.599755
2025-11-16 6.548861 8.555521 11.240902 15.187569 20.999212 29.511565 43.461692
2025-11-23 5.945959 7.932971 10.665628 14.809408 21.139991 30.814934 47.505269
2025-11-30 5.527601 7.520425 10.331919 14.723288 21.672812 32.741753 52.833218
2025-12-07 5.034314 6.956191 9.723235 14.149231 21.357218 33.235536 55.735481
2025-12-14 4.569122 6.396192 9.072266 13.440368 20.731551 33.108091 57.450856
2025-12-21 4.263735 6.050152 8.714009 13.155924 20.766971 34.103924 61.433604
2025-12-28 4.352284 6.302034 9.288692 14.432467 23.607007 40.498733 77.437807
2026-01-04 4.217475 6.196772 9.288494 14.741046 24.760694 43.909753 87.936317
2026-01-11 3.936146 5.850976 8.888961 14.349907 24.630808 44.890684 93.461441
2026-01-18 3.833082 5.784260 8.943371 14.766060 26.085520 49.329323 108.334576
2026-01-25 3.633364 5.545444 8.689124 14.595074 26.363707 51.318358 117.613155
2026-02-01 3.441060 5.306430 8.416576 14.362964 26.486709 52.979384 126.473163
2026-02-08 3.278342 5.106956 8.198144 14.211917 26.756709 55.014326 136.961050
2026-02-15 3.097878 4.866789 7.891762 13.863483 26.564596 55.928072 144.431778
2026-02-22 2.971811 4.713114 7.729705 13.784109 26.948357 58.305147 157.165543
2026-03-01 2.789857 4.452574 7.358105 13.254791 26.269058 57.907338 160.810790
2026-03-08 2.602703 4.174407 6.939586 12.600610 25.242815 56.478165 160.639907
2026-03-15 2.481619 4.007886 6.718897 12.337927 25.098194 57.364036 168.920156
2026-03-22 2.556302 4.194793 7.169989 13.516004 28.504756 68.553210 219.736632